|DraftExpress: Alec Brown has started the season very slowly so far shooting 32% for 2 http://t.co/XN8qVivv - Billed by some as a top-10 pick this summer|
|DraftExpress: Top NBA Prospects in the Non-BCS Conferences #7-#10 Ray McCallum Alec Brown Nate Wolters Isaiah Canaan - http://t.co/mIGMntBb|
|DraftExpress: Top NBA Prospects in the Non-BCS Conferences #7-#10 Ray McCallum Alec Brown Nate Wolters Isaiah Canaan http://t.co/mIGMntBb|
|Height w/o Shoes||Height w/shoes||Weight||Wingspan||Standing Reach||Body Fat||No Step Vert||Max Vert||Bench Press||Lane Agility||3/4 Court Sprint||Class Rank|
|NA||7' 1"||212||7' 0"||NA||NA||NA||NA||NA||NA||NA||NA|
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|Top NBA Prospects in the Non-BCS Conferences, Part One: (#1-5) |
October 29, 2013
When we last wrote about Green Bay center Alec Brown at this time last year, many outlets considered him to be a surefire early entrant to the NBA Draft. His junior season did little to justify this hype, however, as he was less than impressive in early season match-ups against Wisconsin, Marquette, and Virginia and did not have the kind of dominant impact in the Horizon League that his skill set and physical profile suggested he should.
Still, Brown was named All Horizon League Second Team, and was voted on to the 2013-2014 pre-season First Team, and he has another opportunity to remind scouts why he was such an intriguing prospect to begin with. As Brown is set to play his final season in Green Bay, it is up to him to take the next step from intriguing project to NBA player.
Standing 7'1 with a slight frame, narrow shoulders, and a 7'0-wingspan, Brown clearly has the height for an NBA center, but lacks the strength and length. He is reportedly weighing-in at 235-pounds and he has already added nearly 40-pounds since his senior year in high school, but there are nevertheless legitimate questions about whether he can survive physically at the next level. While he is not an explosive athlete, he compensates for many of his athletic deficiencies due to his combination of mobility, fluidity, and quickness, possessing an intriguing physical profile for a player his size.
Equally intriguing is his versatility on the offensive end of the floor. While he increased his production only marginally between his sophomore and junior seasons, he nonetheless averaged a solid 18.5 points per 40 minutes pace adjusted. According to Synergy Sports Technology, 29.6% of his offense came out of traditional post-ups, 14.7% via spot-up jump shots, and 13% out of the pick-and-roll. On film, however, Brown shows a wide variety of tools, albeit with some significant limitations, and a skill set of a prototypical face-up big man.
Most notable is his jump shot. 42% of his field goal attempts are jumpers and he makes an impressive 41.8% of them. Likewise, he ranked as one of the best perimeter shooters among prospects in our top-100, and netted a career high 43.5% of his 2.8 3-point attempts per 40 minutes pace adjusted. His shooting mechanics are quick and fluid with a beautiful follow through, and his shot is extremely difficult to block not only thanks to his size, but also due to the fact that Green Bay frequently finds him looks by running him off of screens.
Brown has nice versatility as well, looking very comfortable knocking down spot-up perimeter jump shots from all over the floor while occasionally showing the ability to take his man off of the dribble before pulling up from mid-range or taking the ball to the basket. He possesses very good ball-handling skills for a big man, which when coupled with his quickness make him a formidable face up threat at this level.
Brown also excels in the pick-and-roll, seeing nearly two-thirds of his attempts in a pick-and-pop capacity. While he lacks the girth to be an effective screener, he does a very good job of rolling into space – and nailing mid-range jump shots - or using his foot speed to get to the basket and finish.
Looking at Brown's post game, however, reveals him to be a more of a mixed bag as an NBA prospect. He lacks the strength and intensity to carve out post position, even against smaller and less athletic big men in the Horizon League. Additionally, he struggles grabbing offensive rebounds, finishing in traffic, and corralling errant passes, all predominately due to his lack of strength and toughness.
These struggles also extend into his finishing abilities. While he actually showed some impressive footwork and has developed a few reliable post moves, he continued to regress in terms of his efficiency and his 44.3% 2P% ranked as one of the lowest among prospects in our top-100, let alone 7-footers. His lack of strength and toughness makes it difficult for him to finish through contact, despite his high skill-level and soft shooting touch.
Brown does not get to the line nearly as often as his skill-set would suggest, and he is an incredibly poor rebounder, ]possessing the lowest mark among big men in our top-100 with a career-low 7.8 rebounds per 40 minutes pace adjusted.
His lack of physical development also hurts him on the defensive end, where he displays impressive ability to step out and guard the pick-and-roll, but still cannot hold his position on the block three years into his college career and, at 4.0 fouls per 40 minutes pace adjusted, remains as foul prone as ever. He even took a step back as a shot blocker, arguably his most intriguing defensive quality in the post, logging a career-low, though nonetheless solid 2.3 blocks per 40 minutes pace adjusted. His potential to step out and guard face-up big men is certainly intriguing and the NBA is always looking for athletic shot blockers, but there is simply no way that he can crack a rotation until he gets significantly stronger and tougher.
At this point, it's very clear what Brown brings to the table as a prospect and, even so, he has quite a bit of work to do to prove to scouts that he can compete against NBA-caliber athletes. Unfortunately, Green Bay's lackluster schedule offers him few opportunities to prove himself, making season match-ups against the likes of Wisconsin, Virginia, and Texas Southern all the more important. With added strength and improved play, however, his stock could rise significantly, as his combination of size, athleticism, and offensive versatility is rare at any level of basketball.
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Top NBA Prospects in the Non-BCS Conferences, Part Four
November 14, 2012
Alec Brown shot up ten inches from 6-3 to 7-1 over the course of his high school career, but struggled to attract the attention of the bigger schools in the Midwest due to his extremely frail 190 pound frame. Brown decided to stay close to home for college and improved steadily during his first two seasons at Wisconsin-Green Bay, and could now be on the verge of solidifying himself as a legit NBA prospect as a junior.
Measured at 7-1 at the Amare Stoudamire big man camp in the summer of 2011, but just 211 pounds, Brown has excellent height but a very narrow frame that will likely take another few years to reach its maximum potential, which has hindered his development to a certain extent. He moves extremely well for his size, though, running the floor fluidly, even if he's not an explosive leaper who plays above the rim consistently.
Brown's biggest virtue as a prospect, besides his tremendous height, revolves around his intriguing skill-level, which is far more advanced than you normally find in a player his size in the Horizon league. Able to score with either hand around the basket, Brown has excellent footwork and body control, being capable of stringing together multiple post-moves in succession with the use of fakes and counter moves. If contact is not a factor, he can finish very well around the basket with a variety of jump-hooks and very soft touch, making 77% of his free throw attempts last season. He's adept at scoring both facing and with his back to the basket, albeit not consistently, as he displayed in his 22-point outburst against Marquette in December of 2011. His perimeter skill-level is impressive considering his size, as he can shoot with range out to the 3-point line, and can attack his man off the dribble with a strong first step and solid ball-handling skills.
Unfortunately things haven't all come together for Brown quite yet. While showing strong flashes of potential from time to time, Brown has struggled to make his presence felt on a consistent basis and was far from a dominant threat at the Horizon League level last season. According to Synergy Sports Technology, he shot just 40% from the field in post-up situations, playing against a fairly weak level of competition amongst big men for the most part.
Brown's frail frame makes it difficult for him to establish solid post position inside, and he doesn't compensate for that with the type of toughness and grit you'd like to see, often fading away from contact as soon as an opponent puts a body on him. He settles for weak turnarounds on a regular basis, and attempts far too many mid-range jumpers, which is the main reason he shot just 47% from 2-point range last season, which ranked last amongst returning top-100 prospects centers last season. If Brown is to help Green Bay improve on their 15-15 record (10-8 in league play) and first round exit from the Horizon league conference tournament, he will have to become much more assertive finishing through contact around the basket, as well as more consistent away from the rim, where he converted just 32% of his jump-shots last season.
Defensively is another area NBA scouts will want to see Brown improve as he matures physically. He shows impressive timing as a shot-blocker, swatting 3.8 shots per-40 minutes last season, mostly coming from the weak-side, where he does a good job keeping his blocks in-bounds. He struggles badly in man to man settings, though, being unable to hold his ground inside the paint against stronger Horizon League opponents who push him around mercilessly and are often able to score on him with relative ease. His very narrow frame and relatively short wingspan (7-0) do him no favors here. Opponents shot over 50% from the field against him in back to the basket situations last season, which ranks him amongst the worst post defenders in college basketball, certainly amongst NBA prospects. Because of his inability to defend post players, his coaching staff tends to slot him alongside another big man at times so Brown can guard power forwards and concentrate on being a weak-side shot-blocker. Unfortunately Brown tends to struggle on the perimeter as well, where he looks very upright and does not possess the lateral quickness needed to stay in front of most opponents.
Another area of concern defensively lies in Brown's rebounding ability. While he does a decent job crashing the offensive glass (4 per-40), the same can't be said on the defensive end, where he pulled down just 6.6 rebounds per-40 last season, a fairly average rate. Part of this has to do with the way his team utilizes his shot-blocking prowess, asking him to act as somewhat of a free safety defensively, but some of this has to do with his average strength, toughness and intensity level as well.
Billed as a potential top-10 pick by other NBA draft outlets, Brown will receive plenty of attention from scouts this season, despite playing for a relatively obscure shool. A late bloomer who made incremental progress from his freshman to sophomore season, Brown may not be ready to make the gigantic leap some are projecting from him, but surely has some tools that make him worth keeping track of moving forward, particularly if his frame proves capable of carrying more weight in the next few years.
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